Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
As of 10:05 AM, 98 voters in 22 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 150,407 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 105,968 - 186,263). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
For those of you who like tables with numbers.
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 10:05 AM | 1992 |
c(2.5% = 1409)
|
c(97.5% = 2155)
|
| 02 | 10:05 AM | 3227 |
c(2.5% = 2335)
|
c(97.5% = 3431)
|
| 03 | 10:05 AM | 1950 |
c(2.5% = 1409)
|
c(97.5% = 2438)
|
| 04 | 10:05 AM | 1990 |
c(2.5% = 1397)
|
c(97.5% = 2601)
|
| 05 | 10:05 AM | 4621 |
c(2.5% = 3296)
|
c(97.5% = 5034)
|
| 06 | 10:05 AM | 1321 |
c(2.5% = 974)
|
c(97.5% = 1638)
|
| 07 | 10:05 AM | 1422 |
c(2.5% = 744)
|
c(97.5% = 2427)
|
| 08 | 10:05 AM | 4500 |
c(2.5% = 3211)
|
c(97.5% = 4821)
|
| 09 | 10:05 AM | 2176 |
c(2.5% = 1621)
|
c(97.5% = 2402)
|
| 10 | 10:05 AM | 2855 |
c(2.5% = 2145)
|
c(97.5% = 3553)
|
| 11 | 10:05 AM | 1277 |
c(2.5% = 882)
|
c(97.5% = 1703)
|
| 12 | 10:05 AM | 2166 |
c(2.5% = 1572)
|
c(97.5% = 2763)
|
| 13 | 10:05 AM | 1963 |
c(2.5% = 1400)
|
c(97.5% = 2545)
|
| 14 | 10:05 AM | 842 |
c(2.5% = 619)
|
c(97.5% = 1018)
|
| 15 | 10:05 AM | 2327 |
c(2.5% = 1706)
|
c(97.5% = 2527)
|
| 16 | 10:05 AM | 1077 |
c(2.5% = 713)
|
c(97.5% = 1484)
|
| 17 | 10:05 AM | 2387 |
c(2.5% = 1729)
|
c(97.5% = 3062)
|
| 18 | 10:05 AM | 1939 |
c(2.5% = 1365)
|
c(97.5% = 2203)
|
| 19 | 10:05 AM | 1048 |
c(2.5% = 614)
|
c(97.5% = 1650)
|
| 20 | 10:05 AM | 988 |
c(2.5% = 625)
|
c(97.5% = 1371)
|
| 21 | 10:05 AM | 5341 |
c(2.5% = 3698)
|
c(97.5% = 6132)
|
| 22 | 10:05 AM | 2950 |
c(2.5% = 2249)
|
c(97.5% = 3328)
|
| 23 | 10:05 AM | 1815 |
c(2.5% = 1230)
|
c(97.5% = 2387)
|
| 24 | 10:05 AM | 1511 |
c(2.5% = 1049)
|
c(97.5% = 1897)
|
| 25 | 10:05 AM | 1484 |
c(2.5% = 954)
|
c(97.5% = 1969)
|
| 26 | 10:05 AM | 1978 |
c(2.5% = 1379)
|
c(97.5% = 2268)
|
| 27 | 10:05 AM | 2612 |
c(2.5% = 1657)
|
c(97.5% = 3454)
|
| 28 | 10:05 AM | 1148 |
c(2.5% = 764)
|
c(97.5% = 1579)
|
| 29 | 10:05 AM | 1100 |
c(2.5% = 802)
|
c(97.5% = 1355)
|
| 30 | 10:05 AM | 2133 |
c(2.5% = 1592)
|
c(97.5% = 2338)
|
| 31 | 10:05 AM | 1742 |
c(2.5% = 1211)
|
c(97.5% = 1843)
|
| 32 | 10:05 AM | 1894 |
c(2.5% = 1250)
|
c(97.5% = 2587)
|
| 33 | 10:05 AM | 1624 |
c(2.5% = 897)
|
c(97.5% = 2554)
|
| 34 | 10:05 AM | 4035 |
c(2.5% = 2967)
|
c(97.5% = 4925)
|
| 35 | 10:05 AM | 2763 |
c(2.5% = 1847)
|
c(97.5% = 3632)
|
| 36 | 10:05 AM | 3234 |
c(2.5% = 2369)
|
c(97.5% = 3821)
|
| 37 | 10:05 AM | 1229 |
c(2.5% = 792)
|
c(97.5% = 1725)
|
| 38 | 10:05 AM | 1996 |
c(2.5% = 1439)
|
c(97.5% = 2410)
|
| 39 | 10:05 AM | 3834 |
c(2.5% = 2687)
|
c(97.5% = 4342)
|
| 40 | 10:05 AM | 4218 |
c(2.5% = 2961)
|
c(97.5% = 5363)
|
| 41 | 10:05 AM | 1667 |
c(2.5% = 1067)
|
c(97.5% = 2235)
|
| 42 | 10:05 AM | 2184 |
c(2.5% = 1343)
|
c(97.5% = 3086)
|
| 43 | 10:05 AM | 1739 |
c(2.5% = 1038)
|
c(97.5% = 2626)
|
| 44 | 10:05 AM | 1337 |
c(2.5% = 939)
|
c(97.5% = 1746)
|
| 45 | 10:05 AM | 1868 |
c(2.5% = 1232)
|
c(97.5% = 2447)
|
| 46 | 10:05 AM | 2461 |
c(2.5% = 1846)
|
c(97.5% = 2800)
|
| 47 | 10:05 AM | 790 |
c(2.5% = 549)
|
c(97.5% = 1026)
|
| 48 | 10:05 AM | 1871 |
c(2.5% = 1318)
|
c(97.5% = 2346)
|
| 49 | 10:05 AM | 2424 |
c(2.5% = 1694)
|
c(97.5% = 3152)
|
| 50 | 10:05 AM | 3276 |
c(2.5% = 2496)
|
c(97.5% = 3836)
|
| 51 | 10:05 AM | 2155 |
c(2.5% = 1558)
|
c(97.5% = 2810)
|
| 52 | 10:05 AM | 2604 |
c(2.5% = 1943)
|
c(97.5% = 3120)
|
| 53 | 10:05 AM | 1886 |
c(2.5% = 1247)
|
c(97.5% = 2513)
|
| 54 | 10:05 AM | 1377 |
c(2.5% = 833)
|
c(97.5% = 1946)
|
| 55 | 10:05 AM | 2176 |
c(2.5% = 1412)
|
c(97.5% = 2898)
|
| 56 | 10:05 AM | 3122 |
c(2.5% = 2087)
|
c(97.5% = 3956)
|
| 57 | 10:05 AM | 2680 |
c(2.5% = 1791)
|
c(97.5% = 3302)
|
| 58 | 10:05 AM | 4505 |
c(2.5% = 3005)
|
c(97.5% = 5631)
|
| 59 | 10:05 AM | 2288 |
c(2.5% = 1685)
|
c(97.5% = 2851)
|
| 60 | 10:05 AM | 1829 |
c(2.5% = 1349)
|
c(97.5% = 2298)
|
| 61 | 10:05 AM | 2819 |
c(2.5% = 1966)
|
c(97.5% = 3621)
|
| 62 | 10:05 AM | 2055 |
c(2.5% = 1287)
|
c(97.5% = 2840)
|
| 63 | 10:05 AM | 2536 |
c(2.5% = 1752)
|
c(97.5% = 3029)
|
| 64 | 10:05 AM | 1472 |
c(2.5% = 989)
|
c(97.5% = 1913)
|
| 65 | 10:05 AM | 2103 |
c(2.5% = 1428)
|
c(97.5% = 2602)
|
| 66 | 10:05 AM | 4476 |
c(2.5% = 3056)
|
c(97.5% = 5525)
|
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 9:55 AM | 0528 | 148 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 110 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 109 |
| 7:45 AM | 0517 | 35 |
| 9:58 AM | 3636 | 120 |
| 9:49 AM | 2212 | 74 |
| 8:00 AM | 0817 | 100 |
| 10:05 AM | 1503 | 129 |
| 10:02 AM | 0517 | 135 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:20 AM | 2217 | 17 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:40 AM | 2105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 97 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions