Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 10:05 AM, 98 voters in 22 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 150,407 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 105,968 - 186,263). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 10:05 AM 1992 c(2.5% = 1409) c(97.5% = 2155)
02 10:05 AM 3227 c(2.5% = 2335) c(97.5% = 3431)
03 10:05 AM 1950 c(2.5% = 1409) c(97.5% = 2438)
04 10:05 AM 1990 c(2.5% = 1397) c(97.5% = 2601)
05 10:05 AM 4621 c(2.5% = 3296) c(97.5% = 5034)
06 10:05 AM 1321 c(2.5% = 974) c(97.5% = 1638)
07 10:05 AM 1422 c(2.5% = 744) c(97.5% = 2427)
08 10:05 AM 4500 c(2.5% = 3211) c(97.5% = 4821)
09 10:05 AM 2176 c(2.5% = 1621) c(97.5% = 2402)
10 10:05 AM 2855 c(2.5% = 2145) c(97.5% = 3553)
11 10:05 AM 1277 c(2.5% = 882) c(97.5% = 1703)
12 10:05 AM 2166 c(2.5% = 1572) c(97.5% = 2763)
13 10:05 AM 1963 c(2.5% = 1400) c(97.5% = 2545)
14 10:05 AM 842 c(2.5% = 619) c(97.5% = 1018)
15 10:05 AM 2327 c(2.5% = 1706) c(97.5% = 2527)
16 10:05 AM 1077 c(2.5% = 713) c(97.5% = 1484)
17 10:05 AM 2387 c(2.5% = 1729) c(97.5% = 3062)
18 10:05 AM 1939 c(2.5% = 1365) c(97.5% = 2203)
19 10:05 AM 1048 c(2.5% = 614) c(97.5% = 1650)
20 10:05 AM 988 c(2.5% = 625) c(97.5% = 1371)
21 10:05 AM 5341 c(2.5% = 3698) c(97.5% = 6132)
22 10:05 AM 2950 c(2.5% = 2249) c(97.5% = 3328)
23 10:05 AM 1815 c(2.5% = 1230) c(97.5% = 2387)
24 10:05 AM 1511 c(2.5% = 1049) c(97.5% = 1897)
25 10:05 AM 1484 c(2.5% = 954) c(97.5% = 1969)
26 10:05 AM 1978 c(2.5% = 1379) c(97.5% = 2268)
27 10:05 AM 2612 c(2.5% = 1657) c(97.5% = 3454)
28 10:05 AM 1148 c(2.5% = 764) c(97.5% = 1579)
29 10:05 AM 1100 c(2.5% = 802) c(97.5% = 1355)
30 10:05 AM 2133 c(2.5% = 1592) c(97.5% = 2338)
31 10:05 AM 1742 c(2.5% = 1211) c(97.5% = 1843)
32 10:05 AM 1894 c(2.5% = 1250) c(97.5% = 2587)
33 10:05 AM 1624 c(2.5% = 897) c(97.5% = 2554)
34 10:05 AM 4035 c(2.5% = 2967) c(97.5% = 4925)
35 10:05 AM 2763 c(2.5% = 1847) c(97.5% = 3632)
36 10:05 AM 3234 c(2.5% = 2369) c(97.5% = 3821)
37 10:05 AM 1229 c(2.5% = 792) c(97.5% = 1725)
38 10:05 AM 1996 c(2.5% = 1439) c(97.5% = 2410)
39 10:05 AM 3834 c(2.5% = 2687) c(97.5% = 4342)
40 10:05 AM 4218 c(2.5% = 2961) c(97.5% = 5363)
41 10:05 AM 1667 c(2.5% = 1067) c(97.5% = 2235)
42 10:05 AM 2184 c(2.5% = 1343) c(97.5% = 3086)
43 10:05 AM 1739 c(2.5% = 1038) c(97.5% = 2626)
44 10:05 AM 1337 c(2.5% = 939) c(97.5% = 1746)
45 10:05 AM 1868 c(2.5% = 1232) c(97.5% = 2447)
46 10:05 AM 2461 c(2.5% = 1846) c(97.5% = 2800)
47 10:05 AM 790 c(2.5% = 549) c(97.5% = 1026)
48 10:05 AM 1871 c(2.5% = 1318) c(97.5% = 2346)
49 10:05 AM 2424 c(2.5% = 1694) c(97.5% = 3152)
50 10:05 AM 3276 c(2.5% = 2496) c(97.5% = 3836)
51 10:05 AM 2155 c(2.5% = 1558) c(97.5% = 2810)
52 10:05 AM 2604 c(2.5% = 1943) c(97.5% = 3120)
53 10:05 AM 1886 c(2.5% = 1247) c(97.5% = 2513)
54 10:05 AM 1377 c(2.5% = 833) c(97.5% = 1946)
55 10:05 AM 2176 c(2.5% = 1412) c(97.5% = 2898)
56 10:05 AM 3122 c(2.5% = 2087) c(97.5% = 3956)
57 10:05 AM 2680 c(2.5% = 1791) c(97.5% = 3302)
58 10:05 AM 4505 c(2.5% = 3005) c(97.5% = 5631)
59 10:05 AM 2288 c(2.5% = 1685) c(97.5% = 2851)
60 10:05 AM 1829 c(2.5% = 1349) c(97.5% = 2298)
61 10:05 AM 2819 c(2.5% = 1966) c(97.5% = 3621)
62 10:05 AM 2055 c(2.5% = 1287) c(97.5% = 2840)
63 10:05 AM 2536 c(2.5% = 1752) c(97.5% = 3029)
64 10:05 AM 1472 c(2.5% = 989) c(97.5% = 1913)
65 10:05 AM 2103 c(2.5% = 1428) c(97.5% = 2602)
66 10:05 AM 4476 c(2.5% = 3056) c(97.5% = 5525)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions